INFRASTRUKTUR JALAN DAN KESEMPATAN KERJA DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN VECTOR AUTOREGRESSIVE
Keywords:
Road Infrastructure, Employment, VAR, dan Granger Causality Test
Abstract
Tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis pengaruh infrastruktur jalan terhadap pekerjaan di Indonesia. Menggunakan time-series dari 1986-2013, uji kointegrasi Johanson digunakan untuk menentukan hubungan jangka panjang antara variabel. Vector autoregressive (VAR) digunakan untuk menguji hubungan jangka pendek antara dua variabel. Studi ini menemukan bahwa dalam jangka panjang, tidak ada hubungan antara infrastruktur jalan dan pekerjaan. Dalam jangka pendek, infrastruktur jalan dipengaruhi secara signifikan olehnya. Serupa dengan pekerjaan juga secara signifikan dipengaruhi oleh diri sendiri untuk cakrawala satu periode. Uji kausalitas Granger menunjukkan bahwa ada kausalitas searah yang berjalan dari pekerjaan ke infrastruktur jalan
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References
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Amri, K. (2014). Infrastruktur Transportasi dan Kepadatan Penduduk Dampaknya Terhadap Pendapatan Per Kapita: Panel Data Evidence dari Sembilan Provinsi di Sumatera, Jurnal Ekonomi Manajemen dan Bisnis, 2(2), 438-450.
Amri, K. (2017). Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Ketimpangan Pendapatan: Panel Data 8 Provinsi di Sumatera, Jurnal Ekonomi dan Manajemen Teknologi, 1(1), 1-11.
Amri, K. (2018). The macroeconomic impact of regional minimum wages: A cross-province data evidence from Indonesia, Regional Science Inquiry, 10(3), 163-176.
Amri, K. (2019). Apakah Infrastruktur Jalan Mempengaruhi Ekspor? Pendekatan Vector Autoregressive, Inovbiz: Jurnal Inovasi Bisnis 7(2), 166-173.
Amri, K., & Nazamuddin. (2018). Is There Causality Relationship between Export and Employment: A Time Series Data Evidence from Indonesia. International Journal of Academic Research in Economics and Management Sciences, 7(2), 86–99.
Amri, K., Nazamuddin., Masbar, R., & Aimon, H. (2019). Is there a causality relationship between local tax revenue and regional economic growth? A panel data evidence from Indonesia, Regional Science Inquiry 11 (1), 73-84.
Basuki, A. T., & Yuliadi, I. (2015). Ekonometrika Teori dan Aplikasi, Edisi 1, Mitra Yogyakarta: Aksara Mulia.
Bhorat, H., Cassim, A., & Tseng, D. (2016). Higher education, employment and economic growth: Exploring the interactions. Development Southern Africa, 33(3), 312–327. doi:10.1080/ 0376835x.2016.1161501
Clark, D. E.,& Murphy, C.A. (1996). Countywide employment and population growth: An analysis of the 1980s. Journal of Regional Science. 36 (2), 235-256.
Dujardin, C., Selod, H., & Thomas, I. (2008). Residential segregation and unemployment: the case of Brussels. Urban Studies. 45, 89-113.
Duranton, G., & Turner, M.A. (2012). Urban growth and transportation. Review of Economic Studies. 79(4), 1407-1440.
Fageda, X., & Gonzalez-Aregall, M. (2014). The Spatial effects of transportation on industrial employment, Working Paper 29 1/26.
Farhadi, M. (2015). Transport infrastructure and long-run economic growthin OECD countries, Transportation Research Part A 74, 73–90.
Ioan, D. (2014). Employment – Cause and Effect of the Economic Growth. Procedia Economics and Finance, 8, 268–274. doi:10.1016/s2212-5671(14)00090-2
Jiang, X., He, X., Zhang, L., Qina, H., & Shao, F. (2017). Multimodal transportation infrastructure investment and regionaleconomic development: A structural equation modeling empirical analysisin China from 1986 to 2011, Transport Policy 54, 43–52.
Jiwattanakulpaisarn, P., Noland, R. B., Graham, D. J., & Polak, J.W. (2009). Highway infrastructure investment and country employment growth: A dynamic panel regression analysis. Journal of Regional Science. 49,(2), 263-286.
Johnson, D., Ercolani, M., & Mackie, P. (2017). Econometric analysis of the link between public transport accessibility and employment, Transport Policy 60, 1-9.
Kayode, O., Babatunde, O. A., & Abiodun, F. (2013). An empirical analysis of transport infrastructure investment and economic growth in Nigeria, Social Sciences, 2(6), 179-188
Leigh, C., & Neill, C. (2011). Can national infrastructure spending reduce local unemployment? Evidence from an Australian roads program, Economics Letters 113 150–153.
McArthur, D. P., Thorsen, I., & Ubøe, J. (2014). Employment, Transport Infrastructure, and Rural Depopulation: A New Spatial Equilibrium Model. Environment and Planning A, 46(7), 1652–1665. doi:10.1068/a46120
Muliadi, M., & Amri, K. (2019). Infrastruktur Jalan, Belanja Modal dan Kesempatan Kerja: Bukti Data Panel Kabupaten Kota di Aceh, Jurnal Manajemen dan Sains, 4(2), 334-341.
Ng, C. P., Law, T. H., Wong, S. V., & Kulanthayan, S. (2017). Relative improvements in road mobility as compared to improvements in road accessibility and economic growth: A cross-country analysis, Transport Policy. 60. 24-33.
Ozbay, K., Ozmen, D., Berechman, J. (2006). Modeling and analysis of the link between accessibility and employment growth. J. Transp. Eng. 132 (5), 385-393.
Padeiro, M. (2013). Transport infrastructures and employment growth in the Paris metropolitan margins, Journal of Transport Geography 31, 44–53
Tyndall, J. (2017). Waiting for the R train: Public transportation and employment. Urban Studies 54, 520-537.
Widarjono, A. (2013). Ekonometrika: Pengantar dan Aplikasinya, Edisi Ketiga, Yogyakarta: Ekonesi.
Winarno, W. W. (2015). Analisis Ekonometrika dan Statistika dengan E-views, Edisi Keempat, cetakan pertama. Yogyakarta: UPP STIMYKPN.
Won, D., Cho, S. E., & Kim, S. (2015). The neighborhood effects of new road infrastructure: Transformation of urban settlements and resident's socioeconomic characteristics in Danang, Vietnam, Habitat International, 50,169-179.
Zia, M. M., & Waqar, S. (2017). The Impact of CPEC and Related Road Infrastructure Projects on Employment, Working Paper No. 011. Centre of Excellence China-Pakistan Economic Corridor.
Zivanomoyo, J. & Mukoka, S. (2015). An empirical analysis of the impact of unemployment on economic growth in Zimbabwe, Archieves of Business Research, 3(6), 38-46.
Zulhilmi, M., & Maulana, H. (2018). Analisis Pola Migrasi Penduduk di Dataran Tinggi Kabupaten Aceh Tengah provinsi Aceh (Dimensi Sosial, Ekonomi, dan Infrastruktur), Jurnal Samudra Ekonomi dan Bisnis, 9(2), 204-115.
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2020-04-08
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